Recent credible reporting indicates OpenAI is preparing a GPT-5.6 launch later this month, positioning the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 66.1% implied probability. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki has described the model internally as a meaningful improvement over the GPT-5.5 series released in April, with gains in efficiency, reasoning, and safety features aimed at countering Anthropic’s Fable 5 and other rivals. Leaks in Codex routing logs and competitive timing around Anthropic pricing changes have reinforced trader expectations for a late-June rollout, while the low probability on the current week reflects the absence of any official confirmation or pre-release signals. No public benchmarks or system card have surfaced yet, leaving room for delays typical in frontier model cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 22–June 28 66.2%
Not released by June 28 24.6%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$177,136 Объем
$177,136 Объем
28 июн. 2026 г.
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
11%
June 22–June 28
66%
Not released by June 28
25%
June 22–June 28 66.2%
Not released by June 28 24.6%
June 15–June 21 11%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$177,136 Объем
$177,136 Объем
28 июн. 2026 г.
June 8–June 14
$41,949 Объем
<1%
June 15–June 21
$32,886 Объем
11%
June 22–June 28
$25,092 Объем
66%
Not released by June 28
$34,783 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent credible reporting indicates OpenAI is preparing a GPT-5.6 launch later this month, positioning the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 66.1% implied probability. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki has described the model internally as a meaningful improvement over the GPT-5.5 series released in April, with gains in efficiency, reasoning, and safety features aimed at countering Anthropic’s Fable 5 and other rivals. Leaks in Codex routing logs and competitive timing around Anthropic pricing changes have reinforced trader expectations for a late-June rollout, while the low probability on the current week reflects the absence of any official confirmation or pre-release signals. No public benchmarks or system card have surfaced yet, leaving room for delays typical in frontier model cycles.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Объем
$177,136Дата окончания
28 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent credible reporting indicates OpenAI is preparing a GPT-5.6 launch later this month, positioning the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 66.1% implied probability. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki has described the model internally as a meaningful improvement over the GPT-5.5 series released in April, with gains in efficiency, reasoning, and safety features aimed at countering Anthropic’s Fable 5 and other rivals. Leaks in Codex routing logs and competitive timing around Anthropic pricing changes have reinforced trader expectations for a late-June rollout, while the low probability on the current week reflects the absence of any official confirmation or pre-release signals. No public benchmarks or system card have surfaced yet, leaving room for delays typical in frontier model cycles.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$177,136Дата окончания
28 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent credible reporting indicates OpenAI is preparing a GPT-5.6 launch later this month, positioning the June 22–28 window as the market favorite at 66.1% implied probability. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki has described the model internally as a meaningful improvement over the GPT-5.5 series released in April, with gains in efficiency, reasoning, and safety features aimed at countering Anthropic’s Fable 5 and other rivals. Leaks in Codex routing logs and competitive timing around Anthropic pricing changes have reinforced trader expectations for a late-June rollout, while the low probability on the current week reflects the absence of any official confirmation or pre-release signals. No public benchmarks or system card have surfaced yet, leaving room for delays typical in frontier model cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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