Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДельси Родригес 94%
Мария Корина Мачадо 3.6%
Марко Рубио 1.3%
Динора Фигера 1.0%
$388,971 Объем
$388,971 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Дельси Родригес
94%
Мария Корина Мачадо
4%
Марко Рубио
1%
Динора Фигера
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Николас Мадуро
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Дельси Родригес 94%
Мария Корина Мачадо 3.6%
Марко Рубио 1.3%
Динора Фигера 1.0%
$388,971 Объем
$388,971 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Дельси Родригес
$103,153 Объем
94%
Мария Корина Мачадо
$53,170 Объем
4%
Марко Рубио
$6,383 Объем
1%
Динора Фигера
$4,570 Объем
1%
Нет главы государства
$67,143 Объем
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
$4,123 Объем
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
$8,378 Объем
<1%
Пит Хегсет
$2,936 Объем
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
$3,568 Объем
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
$68,169 Объем
<1%
Дэн Кейн
$3,248 Объем
<1%
Николас Мадуро
$4,406 Объем
<1%
Дональд Трамп
$2,834 Объем
<1%
Эван Пэттус
$7,303 Объем
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
$7,372 Объем
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
$42,216 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Объем
$388,971Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Объем
$388,971Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus due to her swift consolidation of power after the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro. Installed as acting president by Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice, she has extended her mandate beyond constitutional time limits, secured military and institutional backing, and pursued pragmatic cooperation with Washington on oil production and sanctions relief. This approach has stabilized her government amid internal Chavista rivalries, notably with figures such as Diosdado Cabello. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include accelerated U.S. demands for elections, successful opposition mobilization around leaders like María Corina Machado, or shifts in regime alliances that erode her control before the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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