Strong AI-fueled earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS estimates revised higher to around $340–$365 for 2026, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a close above 7,500. The index trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026 after an 18%+ year-over-year advance, and Wall Street targets cluster between 7,600 and 8,100 amid expectations of continued profit momentum. Recent stronger-than-expected August jobs data lifted Treasury yields and revived rate-hike concerns, while geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation add volatility. Upcoming FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and Q3 earnings will shape the final path, with Polymarket prices reflecting trader consensus on these probabilities rather than certainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 29%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 22%
$6,500–$7,000 11%
$41,371 Объем
$41,371 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
6%
$6,000–$6,500
6%
$6,500–$7,000
11%
$7,000–$7,500
22%
$7,500–$8,000
23%
>$8,000
38%
>$8,000 29%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 22%
$6,500–$7,000 11%
$41,371 Объем
$41,371 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$21,017 Объем
6%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,365 Объем
6%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,577 Объем
11%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,726 Объем
22%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,204 Объем
23%
>$8,000
$6,482 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong AI-fueled earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS estimates revised higher to around $340–$365 for 2026, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a close above 7,500. The index trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026 after an 18%+ year-over-year advance, and Wall Street targets cluster between 7,600 and 8,100 amid expectations of continued profit momentum. Recent stronger-than-expected August jobs data lifted Treasury yields and revived rate-hike concerns, while geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation add volatility. Upcoming FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and Q3 earnings will shape the final path, with Polymarket prices reflecting trader consensus on these probabilities rather than certainties.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$41,371Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong AI-fueled earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS estimates revised higher to around $340–$365 for 2026, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a close above 7,500. The index trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026 after an 18%+ year-over-year advance, and Wall Street targets cluster between 7,600 and 8,100 amid expectations of continued profit momentum. Recent stronger-than-expected August jobs data lifted Treasury yields and revived rate-hike concerns, while geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation add volatility. Upcoming FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and Q3 earnings will shape the final path, with Polymarket prices reflecting trader consensus on these probabilities rather than certainties.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$41,371Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Strong AI-fueled earnings growth, with S&P 500 EPS estimates revised higher to around $340–$365 for 2026, underpins the market-implied odds favoring a close above 7,500. The index trades near 7,719 as of early September 2026 after an 18%+ year-over-year advance, and Wall Street targets cluster between 7,600 and 8,100 amid expectations of continued profit momentum. Recent stronger-than-expected August jobs data lifted Treasury yields and revived rate-hike concerns, while geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation add volatility. Upcoming FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and Q3 earnings will shape the final path, with Polymarket prices reflecting trader consensus on these probabilities rather than certainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы