Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to approximately 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 13% year-to-date with a recent peak near 7,800. This momentum underpins the market-implied 35.5% probability for a close above 8,000 by year-end, alongside 22.5% odds for the 7,500–8,000 range, as traders price in continued EPS expansion and resilient economic data. Recent strength follows upward revisions to 2026 earnings estimates, though moderating job growth, persistent inflation readings, and the upcoming FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty that supports meaningful probabilities across the 7,000–8,000 bands. Seasonal patterns and potential policy shifts remain key near-term swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 36%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 21%
$6,500–$7,000 12%
$41,371 Объем
$41,371 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
6%
$6,000–$6,500
6%
$6,500–$7,000
12%
$7,000–$7,500
21%
$7,500–$8,000
23%
>$8,000
36%
>$8,000 36%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 21%
$6,500–$7,000 12%
$41,371 Объем
$41,371 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$21,017 Объем
6%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,365 Объем
6%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,577 Объем
12%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,726 Объем
21%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,204 Объем
23%
>$8,000
$6,482 Объем
36%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to approximately 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 13% year-to-date with a recent peak near 7,800. This momentum underpins the market-implied 35.5% probability for a close above 8,000 by year-end, alongside 22.5% odds for the 7,500–8,000 range, as traders price in continued EPS expansion and resilient economic data. Recent strength follows upward revisions to 2026 earnings estimates, though moderating job growth, persistent inflation readings, and the upcoming FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty that supports meaningful probabilities across the 7,000–8,000 bands. Seasonal patterns and potential policy shifts remain key near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$41,371Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to approximately 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 13% year-to-date with a recent peak near 7,800. This momentum underpins the market-implied 35.5% probability for a close above 8,000 by year-end, alongside 22.5% odds for the 7,500–8,000 range, as traders price in continued EPS expansion and resilient economic data. Recent strength follows upward revisions to 2026 earnings estimates, though moderating job growth, persistent inflation readings, and the upcoming FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty that supports meaningful probabilities across the 7,000–8,000 bands. Seasonal patterns and potential policy shifts remain key near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$41,371Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-related sectors, has propelled the S&P 500 to approximately 7,719 as of early September 2026, up roughly 13% year-to-date with a recent peak near 7,800. This momentum underpins the market-implied 35.5% probability for a close above 8,000 by year-end, alongside 22.5% odds for the 7,500–8,000 range, as traders price in continued EPS expansion and resilient economic data. Recent strength follows upward revisions to 2026 earnings estimates, though moderating job growth, persistent inflation readings, and the upcoming FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty that supports meaningful probabilities across the 7,000–8,000 bands. Seasonal patterns and potential policy shifts remain key near-term swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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