**Record domestic opening of $360 million has propelled *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* past $550 million in its first 10 days, but traders view sub-$900 million by August 31 as the most probable outcome at 48% implied probability.** Strong word-of-mouth, PLF dominance, and minimal August competition support legs near 1.5x the debut, yet typical second-weekend drops of 55-60% and the short runway to month-end limit upside. Higher brackets like 900-920 million sit at 35.5%, reflecting optimism from its fastest-ever paths to $500 million domestic and $1 billion worldwide. Upcoming weekend updates and IMAX holdover performance will serve as key swing factors before the August 31 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день" общий внутренний валовой к 31 августа? (Более сильные удары)
"Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день" общий внутренний валовой к 31 августа? (Более сильные удары)
<900m 57%
900 - 920m 29%
1020 - 1040m 20%
1060 - 1080m 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
<900m
57%
900 - 920m
29%
920 - 940m
7%
940 - 960m
5%
960 - 980m
12%
980 - 1000m
7%
1000 - 1020m
20%
1020 - 1040m
20%
1040 - 1060m
14%
1060 - 1080m
12%
1080m+
8%
<900m 57%
900 - 920m 29%
1020 - 1040m 20%
1060 - 1080m 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
<900m
$165 Объем
57%
900 - 920m
$65 Объем
29%
920 - 940m
$304 Объем
7%
940 - 960m
$794 Объем
5%
960 - 980m
$45 Объем
12%
980 - 1000m
$372 Объем
7%
1000 - 1020m
$86 Объем
20%
1020 - 1040m
$30 Объем
20%
1040 - 1060m
$45 Объем
14%
1060 - 1080m
$57 Объем
12%
1080m+
$51 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Record domestic opening of $360 million has propelled *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* past $550 million in its first 10 days, but traders view sub-$900 million by August 31 as the most probable outcome at 48% implied probability.** Strong word-of-mouth, PLF dominance, and minimal August competition support legs near 1.5x the debut, yet typical second-weekend drops of 55-60% and the short runway to month-end limit upside. Higher brackets like 900-920 million sit at 35.5%, reflecting optimism from its fastest-ever paths to $500 million domestic and $1 billion worldwide. Upcoming weekend updates and IMAX holdover performance will serve as key swing factors before the August 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Объем
$2,014Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Record domestic opening of $360 million has propelled *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* past $550 million in its first 10 days, but traders view sub-$900 million by August 31 as the most probable outcome at 48% implied probability.** Strong word-of-mouth, PLF dominance, and minimal August competition support legs near 1.5x the debut, yet typical second-weekend drops of 55-60% and the short runway to month-end limit upside. Higher brackets like 900-920 million sit at 35.5%, reflecting optimism from its fastest-ever paths to $500 million domestic and $1 billion worldwide. Upcoming weekend updates and IMAX holdover performance will serve as key swing factors before the August 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$2,014Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Record domestic opening of $360 million has propelled *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* past $550 million in its first 10 days, but traders view sub-$900 million by August 31 as the most probable outcome at 48% implied probability.** Strong word-of-mouth, PLF dominance, and minimal August competition support legs near 1.5x the debut, yet typical second-weekend drops of 55-60% and the short runway to month-end limit upside. Higher brackets like 900-920 million sit at 35.5%, reflecting optimism from its fastest-ever paths to $500 million domestic and $1 billion worldwide. Upcoming weekend updates and IMAX holdover performance will serve as key swing factors before the August 31 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общий внутренний валовой доход фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» по крайней мере 900 млн к 31 августа?
62%
Да
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97%
Да
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70%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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