**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of $360 million last weekend, the biggest debut ever and well above pre-release forecasts, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong critical reception near 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, and near-perfect audience scores. These factors point to robust word-of-mouth that could support solid holds, yet historical patterns for even the biggest superhero launches show second-weekend drops typically ranging 45-60%. With minimal major competition and the film already crossing $1 billion worldwide in just days, traders see the market heavily favoring a second-weekend gross under $180 million as the most probable outcome, reflecting realistic retention expectations despite the exceptional start. The next few days of actual tracking data will serve as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 81%
180-190 млн 11%
190-200m 6%
210–220 млн 5%
$15,442 Объем
$15,442 Объем
9 авг. 2026 г.
<180m
81%
180-190 млн
11%
190-200m
6%
200-210 млн
1%
210–220 млн
5%
220 млн+
3%
<180m 81%
180-190 млн 11%
190-200m 6%
210–220 млн 5%
$15,442 Объем
$15,442 Объем
9 авг. 2026 г.
<180m
$9,055 Объем
81%
180-190 млн
$889 Объем
11%
190-200m
$1,171 Объем
6%
200-210 млн
$846 Объем
1%
210–220 млн
$1,076 Объем
5%
220 млн+
$2,406 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of $360 million last weekend, the biggest debut ever and well above pre-release forecasts, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong critical reception near 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, and near-perfect audience scores. These factors point to robust word-of-mouth that could support solid holds, yet historical patterns for even the biggest superhero launches show second-weekend drops typically ranging 45-60%. With minimal major competition and the film already crossing $1 billion worldwide in just days, traders see the market heavily favoring a second-weekend gross under $180 million as the most probable outcome, reflecting realistic retention expectations despite the exceptional start. The next few days of actual tracking data will serve as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Объем
$15,442Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of $360 million last weekend, the biggest debut ever and well above pre-release forecasts, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong critical reception near 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, and near-perfect audience scores. These factors point to robust word-of-mouth that could support solid holds, yet historical patterns for even the biggest superhero launches show second-weekend drops typically ranging 45-60%. With minimal major competition and the film already crossing $1 billion worldwide in just days, traders see the market heavily favoring a second-weekend gross under $180 million as the most probable outcome, reflecting realistic retention expectations despite the exceptional start. The next few days of actual tracking data will serve as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$15,442Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record domestic opening of $360 million last weekend, the biggest debut ever and well above pre-release forecasts, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong critical reception near 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, and near-perfect audience scores. These factors point to robust word-of-mouth that could support solid holds, yet historical patterns for even the biggest superhero launches show second-weekend drops typically ranging 45-60%. With minimal major competition and the film already crossing $1 billion worldwide in just days, traders see the market heavily favoring a second-weekend gross under $180 million as the most probable outcome, reflecting realistic retention expectations despite the exceptional start. The next few days of actual tracking data will serve as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы