The September 6, 2026, Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt produced a decisive result for the CDU, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its second-vote share at 17–18 percent—well below the 20 percent threshold and down sharply from 37.1 percent in 2021. Pre-election surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and others had already shown the CDU stuck at 22–24 percent while the AfD climbed above 40 percent, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government and stronger support for the AfD’s positions on immigration and state-level policy. Record turnout above 76 percent amplified the shift, confirming the CDU’s historic low in final tallies. Only an unexpectedly large revision in remaining districts or a formal recount could lift the CDU share above 20 percent; absent that, the outcome aligns with the observed vote distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<20% 99.8%
20-23% <1%
23-26% <1%
26%+ <1%
$78,197 Объем
$78,197 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<20%
100%
20-23%
<1%
23-26%
<1%
26%+
<1%
<20% 99.8%
20-23% <1%
23-26% <1%
26%+ <1%
$78,197 Объем
$78,197 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<20%
$24,662 Объем
100%
20-23%
$25,923 Объем
<1%
23-26%
$15,616 Объем
<1%
26%+
$11,996 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt produced a decisive result for the CDU, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its second-vote share at 17–18 percent—well below the 20 percent threshold and down sharply from 37.1 percent in 2021. Pre-election surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and others had already shown the CDU stuck at 22–24 percent while the AfD climbed above 40 percent, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government and stronger support for the AfD’s positions on immigration and state-level policy. Record turnout above 76 percent amplified the shift, confirming the CDU’s historic low in final tallies. Only an unexpectedly large revision in remaining districts or a formal recount could lift the CDU share above 20 percent; absent that, the outcome aligns with the observed vote distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Объем
$78,197Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt produced a decisive result for the CDU, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its second-vote share at 17–18 percent—well below the 20 percent threshold and down sharply from 37.1 percent in 2021. Pre-election surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and others had already shown the CDU stuck at 22–24 percent while the AfD climbed above 40 percent, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government and stronger support for the AfD’s positions on immigration and state-level policy. Record turnout above 76 percent amplified the shift, confirming the CDU’s historic low in final tallies. Only an unexpectedly large revision in remaining districts or a formal recount could lift the CDU share above 20 percent; absent that, the outcome aligns with the observed vote distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$78,197Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The September 6, 2026, Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt produced a decisive result for the CDU, with preliminary counts and exit polls placing its second-vote share at 17–18 percent—well below the 20 percent threshold and down sharply from 37.1 percent in 2021. Pre-election surveys from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and others had already shown the CDU stuck at 22–24 percent while the AfD climbed above 40 percent, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP government and stronger support for the AfD’s positions on immigration and state-level policy. Record turnout above 76 percent amplified the shift, confirming the CDU’s historic low in final tallies. Only an unexpectedly large revision in remaining districts or a formal recount could lift the CDU share above 20 percent; absent that, the outcome aligns with the observed vote distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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