Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race after its strong Venice premiere reception, backed by Martin McDonagh’s awards track record and a high-profile Searchlight release. With implied probabilities clustered near 50% for most contenders, the market reflects filmmaker reputation and studio positioning more than completed campaigns. Projects like Obsession, Digger, Fjord, and The Debut remain competitive, but their trajectories hinge on festival debuts, critical scores, and Writers Guild recognition. As the field stays wide open ahead of fall screenings and year-end precursors, late momentum shifts from reviews or guild nods could quickly alter the consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 51%
The Debut 15.2%
Digger 13%
Obsession 12%
$28,956 Объем
$28,956 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Wild Horse Nine
51%
The Debut
19%
Digger
13%
Obsession
12%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
5%
The Drama
4%
The Black Ball
4%
Josephine
3%
The Odyssey
3%
A Place in Hell
3%
Club Kid
3%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
Fjord
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 51%
The Debut 15.2%
Digger 13%
Obsession 12%
$28,956 Объем
$28,956 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
Wild Horse Nine
$23,001 Объем
51%
The Debut
$1,004 Объем
19%
Digger
$2,066 Объем
13%
Obsession
$454 Объем
12%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 Объем
5%
The Drama
$39 Объем
4%
The Black Ball
$97 Объем
4%
Josephine
$59 Объем
3%
The Odyssey
$59 Объем
3%
A Place in Hell
$59 Объем
3%
Club Kid
$43 Объем
3%
The Invite
$59 Объем
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$59 Объем
3%
Fjord
$1,690 Объем
3%
Elsinore
$39 Объем
2%
Fatherland
$39 Объем
2%
Forgotten Island
$79 Объем
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race after its strong Venice premiere reception, backed by Martin McDonagh’s awards track record and a high-profile Searchlight release. With implied probabilities clustered near 50% for most contenders, the market reflects filmmaker reputation and studio positioning more than completed campaigns. Projects like Obsession, Digger, Fjord, and The Debut remain competitive, but their trajectories hinge on festival debuts, critical scores, and Writers Guild recognition. As the field stays wide open ahead of fall screenings and year-end precursors, late momentum shifts from reviews or guild nods could quickly alter the consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$28,956Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race after its strong Venice premiere reception, backed by Martin McDonagh’s awards track record and a high-profile Searchlight release. With implied probabilities clustered near 50% for most contenders, the market reflects filmmaker reputation and studio positioning more than completed campaigns. Projects like Obsession, Digger, Fjord, and The Debut remain competitive, but their trajectories hinge on festival debuts, critical scores, and Writers Guild recognition. As the field stays wide open ahead of fall screenings and year-end precursors, late momentum shifts from reviews or guild nods could quickly alter the consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$28,956Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay race after its strong Venice premiere reception, backed by Martin McDonagh’s awards track record and a high-profile Searchlight release. With implied probabilities clustered near 50% for most contenders, the market reflects filmmaker reputation and studio positioning more than completed campaigns. Projects like Obsession, Digger, Fjord, and The Debut remain competitive, but their trajectories hinge on festival debuts, critical scores, and Writers Guild recognition. As the field stays wide open ahead of fall screenings and year-end precursors, late momentum shifts from reviews or guild nods could quickly alter the consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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