Recent corporate earnings momentum, with Japanese firms posting ~50% recurring profit growth and record ROE levels, underpins trader expectations for Nikkei 225 stability near current ~65,000 levels by year-end. However, closely matched probabilities across 55,000-70,000 buckets reflect uncertainty over Bank of Japan rate hikes—markets price in further tightening toward 1.25%—and yen fluctuations that could pressure exporters or trigger intervention. AI and semiconductor demand provide upside catalysts, while elevated valuations and global risk aversion introduce downside risks. Upcoming BOJ decisions and Q3 earnings revisions remain key swing factors for the remaining trading sessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
55,000-60,000 33%
<55,000 20.0%
60,000-65,000 16.4%
70,000-75,000 16%
$10,038 Объем
$10,038 Объем
<55,000
20%
55,000-60,000
33%
60,000-65,000
16%
65,000-70,000
24%
70,000-75,000
16%
75,000-80,000
8%
80,000-85,000
6%
85,000+
9%
55,000-60,000 33%
<55,000 20.0%
60,000-65,000 16.4%
70,000-75,000 16%
$10,038 Объем
$10,038 Объем
<55,000
20%
55,000-60,000
33%
60,000-65,000
16%
65,000-70,000
24%
70,000-75,000
16%
75,000-80,000
8%
80,000-85,000
6%
85,000+
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent corporate earnings momentum, with Japanese firms posting ~50% recurring profit growth and record ROE levels, underpins trader expectations for Nikkei 225 stability near current ~65,000 levels by year-end. However, closely matched probabilities across 55,000-70,000 buckets reflect uncertainty over Bank of Japan rate hikes—markets price in further tightening toward 1.25%—and yen fluctuations that could pressure exporters or trigger intervention. AI and semiconductor demand provide upside catalysts, while elevated valuations and global risk aversion introduce downside risks. Upcoming BOJ decisions and Q3 earnings revisions remain key swing factors for the remaining trading sessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы