With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, trader consensus shows John Thune holding a narrow lead over Chuck Schumer, reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure Senate control and thus select the majority leader. Competitive races in multiple states, shifting polling averages among key voting blocs, and the absence of decisive momentum for either side keep the implied probabilities close. Internal party dynamics, including potential leadership challenges or endorsements, add layers of complexity for both Republicans and Democrats. Scheduled campaign events, candidate announcements, and late-cycle developments in battleground contests could widen the gap by clarifying the likely majority party before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжон Тун 45%
Чак Шумер 38%
Брайан Шац 5.5%
Том Коттон 2.8%
$156,156 Объем
$156,156 Объем
2 янв. 2027 г.
Джон Тун
45%
Чак Шумер
38%
Брайан Шац
5%
Том Коттон
3%
Джон Баррассо
2%
Стив Дэйнс
1%
Пэтти Мюррей
1%
Кори Букер
<1%
Эми Клобушар
<1%
Марк Келли
<1%
Джон Тун 45%
Чак Шумер 38%
Брайан Шац 5.5%
Том Коттон 2.8%
$156,156 Объем
$156,156 Объем
2 янв. 2027 г.
Джон Тун
$26,126 Объем
45%
Чак Шумер
$14,908 Объем
38%
Брайан Шац
$3,123 Объем
5%
Том Коттон
$7,630 Объем
3%
Джон Баррассо
$4,889 Объем
2%
Стив Дэйнс
$25,051 Объем
1%
Пэтти Мюррей
$5,031 Объем
1%
Кори Букер
$4,278 Объем
<1%
Эми Клобушар
$4,673 Объем
<1%
Марк Келли
$5,349 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, trader consensus shows John Thune holding a narrow lead over Chuck Schumer, reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure Senate control and thus select the majority leader. Competitive races in multiple states, shifting polling averages among key voting blocs, and the absence of decisive momentum for either side keep the implied probabilities close. Internal party dynamics, including potential leadership challenges or endorsements, add layers of complexity for both Republicans and Democrats. Scheduled campaign events, candidate announcements, and late-cycle developments in battleground contests could widen the gap by clarifying the likely majority party before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Объем
$156,156Дата окончания
3 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, trader consensus shows John Thune holding a narrow lead over Chuck Schumer, reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure Senate control and thus select the majority leader. Competitive races in multiple states, shifting polling averages among key voting blocs, and the absence of decisive momentum for either side keep the implied probabilities close. Internal party dynamics, including potential leadership challenges or endorsements, add layers of complexity for both Republicans and Democrats. Scheduled campaign events, candidate announcements, and late-cycle developments in battleground contests could widen the gap by clarifying the likely majority party before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Объем
$156,156Дата окончания
3 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, trader consensus shows John Thune holding a narrow lead over Chuck Schumer, reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure Senate control and thus select the majority leader. Competitive races in multiple states, shifting polling averages among key voting blocs, and the absence of decisive momentum for either side keep the implied probabilities close. Internal party dynamics, including potential leadership challenges or endorsements, add layers of complexity for both Republicans and Democrats. Scheduled campaign events, candidate announcements, and late-cycle developments in battleground contests could widen the gap by clarifying the likely majority party before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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