New York's pronounced Democratic lean, combined with incumbent Kathy Hochul's established position after advancing unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points among likely voters, consistent with the state's record of no Republican statewide wins since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold consistent registration and turnout advantages. A commanding lead could narrow if late-cycle developments such as sharp economic shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen campaign events alter voter priorities before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
$98,093 Объем
$98,093 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
95%
Республиканец
6%
$98,093 Объем
$98,093 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$49,037 Объем
95%
Республиканец
$49,056 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's pronounced Democratic lean, combined with incumbent Kathy Hochul's established position after advancing unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points among likely voters, consistent with the state's record of no Republican statewide wins since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold consistent registration and turnout advantages. A commanding lead could narrow if late-cycle developments such as sharp economic shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen campaign events alter voter priorities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Объем
$98,093Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's pronounced Democratic lean, combined with incumbent Kathy Hochul's established position after advancing unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points among likely voters, consistent with the state's record of no Republican statewide wins since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold consistent registration and turnout advantages. A commanding lead could narrow if late-cycle developments such as sharp economic shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen campaign events alter voter priorities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$98,093Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's pronounced Democratic lean, combined with incumbent Kathy Hochul's established position after advancing unopposed through the canceled Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 gubernatorial election. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by 10 points among likely voters, consistent with the state's record of no Republican statewide wins since 2002. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats hold consistent registration and turnout advantages. A commanding lead could narrow if late-cycle developments such as sharp economic shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen campaign events alter voter priorities before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы