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Политика·выборы

Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира

icon for Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира
Политика·выборы

Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат 41%

Победа республиканцев 38%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат 38%

Победа демократов 38%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат 41%

Победа республиканцев 38%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат 38%

Победа демократов 38%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат

$0 Объем

41%

Победа республиканцев

$0 Объем

38%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат

$0 Объем

38%

Победа демократов

$0 Объем

38%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire voters have a history of ticket-splitting, which sustains tight probabilities across Senate-Governor outcome combinations ahead of the November 3 general election. The open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas as the frontrunner in his party's primary and polling near or slightly ahead of Republican John E. Sununu in general-election matchups, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a lead in her reelection bid against Democrat Cinde Warmington. Primaries on September 8 will finalize nominees and could shift positioning in this closely contested environment. Trader consensus on split results reflects these narrow margins, candidate strengths, and the state's recent pattern of divided control rather than unified sweeps.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire voters have a history of ticket-splitting, which sustains tight probabilities across Senate-Governor outcome combinations ahead of the November 3 general election. The open Senate seat features Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas as the frontrunner in his party's primary and polling near or slightly ahead of Republican John E. Sununu in general-election matchups, while incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte holds a lead in her reelection bid against Democrat Cinde Warmington. Primaries on September 8 will finalize nominees and could shift positioning in this closely contested environment. Trader consensus on split results reflects these narrow margins, candidate strengths, and the state's recent pattern of divided control rather than unified sweeps.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

40%
Да
icon for Сумеют ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора Айовы?

Сумеют ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора Айовы?

40%
Да
icon for Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

39%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат» с 41%, за ним следует «Победа республиканцев» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» — «Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат» с 41%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Победа республиканцев» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.