Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 11 сентября?
17°C 38%
16°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
9%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
11%
16°C
32%
17°C
38%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
10%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 38%
16°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$115 Объем
9%
13°C
$152 Объем
2%
14°C
$91 Объем
3%
15°C
$321 Объем
11%
16°C
$263 Объем
32%
17°C
$1,725 Объем
38%
18°C
$1,404 Объем
14%
19°C
$334 Объем
2%
20°C
$36 Объем
1%
21°C
$30 Объем
10%
22°C или выше
$210 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$4,682Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,682Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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