**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a hot, sunny day across Los Angeles with highs expected near 89°F at coastal sites like LAX and potentially 92–96°F downtown or inland, driven by clear skies, light easterly winds shifting southwest, and elevated heat indices.** This range—combined with normal September variability, urban heat island effects, and minor differences in official station measurements—explains the tight market clustering around 90–94°F outcomes. Historical September 10 averages near 77°F underscore the anomaly, while model consensus on minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances supports the elevated trader-implied probabilities. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final NWS adjustments will clarify resolution thresholds amid inherent local microclimate uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 10 сентября?
94°F или выше 38.1%
92-93°F 28%
90-91°F 22%
88-89°F 10%
$35,339 Объем
$35,339 Объем
75°F или ниже
<1%
76–77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
28%
94°F или выше
38%
94°F или выше 38.1%
92-93°F 28%
90-91°F 22%
88-89°F 10%
$35,339 Объем
$35,339 Объем
75°F или ниже
<1%
76–77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
28%
94°F или выше
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a hot, sunny day across Los Angeles with highs expected near 89°F at coastal sites like LAX and potentially 92–96°F downtown or inland, driven by clear skies, light easterly winds shifting southwest, and elevated heat indices.** This range—combined with normal September variability, urban heat island effects, and minor differences in official station measurements—explains the tight market clustering around 90–94°F outcomes. Historical September 10 averages near 77°F underscore the anomaly, while model consensus on minimal cloud cover and low precipitation chances supports the elevated trader-implied probabilities. Upcoming afternoon observations and any final NWS adjustments will clarify resolution thresholds amid inherent local microclimate uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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