Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 1 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 1 августа?
17°C 55%
16°C или ниже 46%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
50%
17°C
55%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
17°C 55%
16°C или ниже 46%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$1,620 Объем
50%
17°C
$1,592 Объем
55%
18°C
$877 Объем
<1%
19°C
$459 Объем
<1%
20°C
$241 Объем
<1%
21°C
$434 Объем
<1%
22°C
$345 Объем
<1%
23°C
$833 Объем
<1%
24°C
$339 Объем
<1%
25°C
$333 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$332 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$7,405Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,405Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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