Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 11, driving the leading market share for that outcome amid a warm southerly flow. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates modulated by cloud cover and wind speed, plus any late adjustments from Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress the low. Model consensus remains tight for this 48-hour window, yet small timing shifts in high pressure could push readings to 16°C or 18°C. Historical August minima average near 14°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 11 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 11 августа?
17°C 41%
16°C 22%
18°C 18%
15°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
12%
16°C
22%
17°C
41%
18°C
18%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C или выше
1%
17°C 41%
16°C 22%
18°C 18%
15°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$5 Объем
3%
13°C
$23 Объем
3%
14°C
$23 Объем
6%
15°C
$0 Объем
12%
16°C
$0 Объем
22%
17°C
$71 Объем
41%
18°C
$12 Объем
18%
19°C
$23 Объем
6%
20°C
$28 Объем
6%
21°C
$12 Объем
1%
22°C или выше
$5 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 11, driving the leading market share for that outcome amid a warm southerly flow. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates modulated by cloud cover and wind speed, plus any late adjustments from Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress the low. Model consensus remains tight for this 48-hour window, yet small timing shifts in high pressure could push readings to 16°C or 18°C. Historical August minima average near 14°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$190Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 11, driving the leading market share for that outcome amid a warm southerly flow. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates modulated by cloud cover and wind speed, plus any late adjustments from Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress the low. Model consensus remains tight for this 48-hour window, yet small timing shifts in high pressure could push readings to 16°C or 18°C. Historical August minima average near 14°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$190Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 11, driving the leading market share for that outcome amid a warm southerly flow. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates modulated by cloud cover and wind speed, plus any late adjustments from Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress the low. Model consensus remains tight for this 48-hour window, yet small timing shifts in high pressure could push readings to 16°C or 18°C. Historical August minima average near 14°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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