Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights an approaching upper-level low and surface cold front crossing the region Wednesday, September 9, which is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger showers or thunderstorms, and shift winds to promote cooler overnight conditions. This setup favors a daily low near or below 67°F, consistent with the 49% market-implied probability and aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.5°F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, but the frontal passage and associated moisture should enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus points to minimal overnight recovery under partly to mostly cloudy skies, though any delays in frontal timing or stronger southerly flow could support slightly milder readings in the 68–75°F range reflected in secondary market bins. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and 00Z model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 9 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чикаго 9 сентября?
67°F или ниже 98%
86°F или выше 59%
72-73°F 50%
74-75°F 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
98%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
50%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
20%
86°F или выше
59%
67°F или ниже 98%
86°F или выше 59%
72-73°F 50%
74-75°F 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$0 Объем
98%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
49%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
49%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
50%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
50%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
49%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
22%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
20%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
20%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
20%
86°F или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights an approaching upper-level low and surface cold front crossing the region Wednesday, September 9, which is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger showers or thunderstorms, and shift winds to promote cooler overnight conditions. This setup favors a daily low near or below 67°F, consistent with the 49% market-implied probability and aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.5°F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, but the frontal passage and associated moisture should enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus points to minimal overnight recovery under partly to mostly cloudy skies, though any delays in frontal timing or stronger southerly flow could support slightly milder readings in the 68–75°F range reflected in secondary market bins. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and 00Z model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights an approaching upper-level low and surface cold front crossing the region Wednesday, September 9, which is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger showers or thunderstorms, and shift winds to promote cooler overnight conditions. This setup favors a daily low near or below 67°F, consistent with the 49% market-implied probability and aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.5°F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, but the frontal passage and associated moisture should enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus points to minimal overnight recovery under partly to mostly cloudy skies, though any delays in frontal timing or stronger southerly flow could support slightly milder readings in the 68–75°F range reflected in secondary market bins. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and 00Z model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights an approaching upper-level low and surface cold front crossing the region Wednesday, September 9, which is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger showers or thunderstorms, and shift winds to promote cooler overnight conditions. This setup favors a daily low near or below 67°F, consistent with the 49% market-implied probability and aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.5°F for the date. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, but the frontal passage and associated moisture should enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Model consensus points to minimal overnight recovery under partly to mostly cloudy skies, though any delays in frontal timing or stronger southerly flow could support slightly milder readings in the 68–75°F range reflected in secondary market bins. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and 00Z model runs will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы