Recent forecast models for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the September 12 minimum, with most runs projecting lows of 16–20°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered light rain. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes reflect diverging guidance on whether a stronger cold air intrusion arrives ahead of the date or whether lingering subtropical moisture and weak southerly flow maintain milder overnight temperatures. Historical September climatology, with average lows near 18–19°C, provides limited guidance given the current transitional pattern and high humidity that can suppress radiational cooling. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 12 сентября?
14°C или ниже 100%
24°C или выше 93%
15°C 39%
20°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
100%
15°C
39%
16°C
31%
17°C
21%
18°C
23%
19°C
27%
20°C
39%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C или выше
93%
14°C или ниже 100%
24°C или выше 93%
15°C 39%
20°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
15°C
$0 Объем
39%
16°C
$0 Объем
31%
17°C
$0 Объем
21%
18°C
$0 Объем
23%
19°C
$0 Объем
27%
20°C
$0 Объем
39%
21°C
$0 Объем
19%
22°C
$0 Объем
19%
23°C
$0 Объем
19%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the September 12 minimum, with most runs projecting lows of 16–20°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered light rain. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes reflect diverging guidance on whether a stronger cold air intrusion arrives ahead of the date or whether lingering subtropical moisture and weak southerly flow maintain milder overnight temperatures. Historical September climatology, with average lows near 18–19°C, provides limited guidance given the current transitional pattern and high humidity that can suppress radiational cooling. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the September 12 minimum, with most runs projecting lows of 16–20°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered light rain. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes reflect diverging guidance on whether a stronger cold air intrusion arrives ahead of the date or whether lingering subtropical moisture and weak southerly flow maintain milder overnight temperatures. Historical September climatology, with average lows near 18–19°C, provides limited guidance given the current transitional pattern and high humidity that can suppress radiational cooling. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the September 12 minimum, with most runs projecting lows of 16–20°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered light rain. The closely matched market-implied odds between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes reflect diverging guidance on whether a stronger cold air intrusion arrives ahead of the date or whether lingering subtropical moisture and weak southerly flow maintain milder overnight temperatures. Historical September climatology, with average lows near 18–19°C, provides limited guidance given the current transitional pattern and high humidity that can suppress radiational cooling. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing that determine the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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