Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 21 сентября?
20°C или выше 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C или выше
98%
20°C или выше 98%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$120 Объем
1%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
40%
14°C
$0 Объем
40%
15°C
$0 Объем
40%
16°C
$0 Объем
20%
17°C
$0 Объем
20%
18°C
$26 Объем
11%
19°C
$0 Объем
8%
20°C или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$146Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$146Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C for Cape Town on September 21, driven by persistent clear skies, light south-easterly winds, and above-average warmth extending from the current spell. This positions the 20°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability, well above the September climatological average low of roughly 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited overnight cooling under stable high pressure, with daytime peaks reaching 25–28°C. Key upcoming updates from official agencies on the 20th will refine wind and humidity details that could nudge the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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