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icon for Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?
Политика·Выборы в США

Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?

icon for Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?
Политика·Выборы в США

Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?

Фишбэк 10–15% 99.0%

Фишбек 25–30% <1%

Фишбэк 30%+ <1%

Фишбек <10% <1%

Polymarket

$343,188 Объем

Фишбэк 10–15% 99.0%

Фишбек 25–30% <1%

Фишбэк 30%+ <1%

Фишбек <10% <1%

Polymarket

$343,188 Объем

Фишбек <10%

$249,769 Объем

<1%

Фишбэк 10–15%

$24,477 Объем

99%

Фишбэк 15–20%

$13,551 Объем

<1%

Фишбек 20–25%

$17,341 Объем

<1%

Фишбек 25–30%

$10,466 Объем

1%

Фишбэк 30%+

$27,583 Объем

<1%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The August 18, 2026 Republican primary results placed James Fishback at 10.5 percent of the vote in a crowded field headed by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who secured roughly 48 percent after receiving President Trump’s endorsement and maintaining consistent polling leads. Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins finished second with 25 percent. Fishback, an investment firm executive, positioned his campaign around housing policy and faced an unsuccessful residency challenge earlier in the cycle. Pre-primary surveys showed him in the low-to-mid teens at best amid a fragmented field of established officeholders. Trader consensus on the 10–15 percent bracket reflects these certified outcomes, with minimal probability assigned to higher or lower ranges absent any material shifts during final tabulation or certification.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$343,188
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The August 18, 2026 Republican primary results placed James Fishback at 10.5 percent of the vote in a crowded field headed by U.S. Representative Byron Donalds, who secured roughly 48 percent after receiving President Trump’s endorsement and maintaining consistent polling leads. Lieutenant Governor Jay Collins finished second with 25 percent. Fishback, an investment firm executive, positioned his campaign around housing policy and faced an unsuccessful residency challenge earlier in the cycle. Pre-primary surveys showed him in the low-to-mid teens at best amid a fragmented field of established officeholders. Trader consensus on the 10–15 percent bracket reflects these certified outcomes, with minimal probability assigned to higher or lower ranges absent any material shifts during final tabulation or certification.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$343,188
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Байрон Доналдс не менее 30% голосов на праймериз Республиканской партии Флориды на пост губернатора?

Получит ли Байрон Доналдс не менее 30% голосов на праймериз Республиканской партии Флориды на пост губернатора?

100%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Байрон Доналдс праймериз Республиканцев на пост губернатора Флориды с отрывом в 20–25%?

Выиграет ли Байрон Доналдс праймериз Республиканцев на пост губернатора Флориды с отрывом в 20–25%?

99%
Да
icon for Будет ли Дэвид Джолли кандидатом в губернаторы Флориды от Демократической партии?

Будет ли Дэвид Джолли кандидатом в губернаторы Флориды от Демократической партии?

100%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Фишбэк 10–15%» с 99%, за ним следует «Фишбек 25–30%» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $343.2K с момента запуска рынка Jul 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?» — «Фишбэк 10–15%» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Фишбек 25–30%» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Доля голосов Джеймса Фишбэка в праймериз республиканского губернатора Флориды 2026 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.