IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМАГАТЭ посещает Исфахан, Фордо или ядерный объект в Натанзе...?
МАГАТЭ посещает Исфахан, Фордо или ядерный объект в Натанзе...?
$352,934 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
1%
31 октября
7%
31 декабря
22%
$352,934 Объем
31 августа
$54,227 Объем
1%
31 октября
$79,331 Объем
7%
31 декабря
$26,052 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Объем
$352,934Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$352,934Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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