Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for that total. Ballotpedia and other trackers list the group as of early August 2026 as including Alan Armstrong (Oklahoma), Steve Daines (Montana), Cynthia Lummis (Wyoming), Joni Ernst (Iowa), Thom Tillis (North Carolina), Marsha Blackburn (Tennessee, running for governor), and Mitch McConnell (Kentucky). These decisions, spread across 2025 and early 2026, produced the current seven-Republican total among eleven total Senate retirements. No further GOP announcements have occurred in recent weeks, and filing deadlines plus primary schedules have not yet triggered additional shifts, leaving the outcome count stable near the close of the announcement window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено7 77%
11 10.0%
9 5.1%
5 3.0%
$101,141 Объем
$101,141 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
<5
1%
5
3%
6
1%
7
77%
8
1%
9
5%
10
1%
11
10%
12+
<1%
7 77%
11 10.0%
9 5.1%
5 3.0%
$101,141 Объем
$101,141 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
<5
$22,734 Объем
1%
5
$17,511 Объем
3%
6
$27,247 Объем
1%
7
$16,987 Объем
77%
8
$4,623 Объем
1%
9
$2,208 Объем
5%
10
$1,873 Объем
1%
11
$2,845 Объем
10%
12+
$5,112 Объем
<1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for that total. Ballotpedia and other trackers list the group as of early August 2026 as including Alan Armstrong (Oklahoma), Steve Daines (Montana), Cynthia Lummis (Wyoming), Joni Ernst (Iowa), Thom Tillis (North Carolina), Marsha Blackburn (Tennessee, running for governor), and Mitch McConnell (Kentucky). These decisions, spread across 2025 and early 2026, produced the current seven-Republican total among eleven total Senate retirements. No further GOP announcements have occurred in recent weeks, and filing deadlines plus primary schedules have not yet triggered additional shifts, leaving the outcome count stable near the close of the announcement window.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
Объем
$101,141Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for that total. Ballotpedia and other trackers list the group as of early August 2026 as including Alan Armstrong (Oklahoma), Steve Daines (Montana), Cynthia Lummis (Wyoming), Joni Ernst (Iowa), Thom Tillis (North Carolina), Marsha Blackburn (Tennessee, running for governor), and Mitch McConnell (Kentucky). These decisions, spread across 2025 and early 2026, produced the current seven-Republican total among eleven total Senate retirements. No further GOP announcements have occurred in recent weeks, and filing deadlines plus primary schedules have not yet triggered additional shifts, leaving the outcome count stable near the close of the announcement window.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. Senate who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the Senate may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$101,141Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Seven Republican senators have announced they will not seek re-election in 2026, aligning with the market's strong preference for that total. Ballotpedia and other trackers list the group as of early August 2026 as including Alan Armstrong (Oklahoma), Steve Daines (Montana), Cynthia Lummis (Wyoming), Joni Ernst (Iowa), Thom Tillis (North Carolina), Marsha Blackburn (Tennessee, running for governor), and Mitch McConnell (Kentucky). These decisions, spread across 2025 and early 2026, produced the current seven-Republican total among eleven total Senate retirements. No further GOP announcements have occurred in recent weeks, and filing deadlines plus primary schedules have not yet triggered additional shifts, leaving the outcome count stable near the close of the announcement window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли количество членов Палаты представителей от Республиканской партии, которые уйдут в отставку в 2026 году, от 36 до 39 включительно?
83%
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Будет ли число демократов Палаты представителей, ушедших в отставку в 2026 году, от 20 до 23 включительно?
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Победят ли действующие республиканцы в Сенате не ровно в трёх праймериз в цикле 2026 года?
79%
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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