Official forecasts from MetService and aligned models project a daily maximum of 13°C in Wellington on September 10, driven by persistent southerly winds, cloud cover, and showers suppressing daytime warming. Real-time observations through evening confirm temperatures peaking near this threshold, consistent with September climatology of 12–14°C highs and reinforcing the market-implied 100% consensus on 13°C. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these authoritative measurements over alternative stations or minor model variations. Only an unexpected late-day spike or station-specific reading of 14°C could alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 10 сентября?
13°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$33,038 Объем
$33,038 Объем
8°C или ниже
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Да
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C или выше
Нет
13°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$33,038 Объем
$33,038 Объем
8°C или ниже
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Да
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official forecasts from MetService and aligned models project a daily maximum of 13°C in Wellington on September 10, driven by persistent southerly winds, cloud cover, and showers suppressing daytime warming. Real-time observations through evening confirm temperatures peaking near this threshold, consistent with September climatology of 12–14°C highs and reinforcing the market-implied 100% consensus on 13°C. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these authoritative measurements over alternative stations or minor model variations. Only an unexpected late-day spike or station-specific reading of 14°C could alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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