Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 12. Official observations from September 10 recorded highs near 16–19°C amid cooler, showery conditions, while multiple runs project a modest rebound to 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and surface pressures near 1022 hPa. Seasonal climatology supports this mild range as autumn cooling sets in, with low precipitation risk reinforcing limited thermal variability. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift probabilities within the narrow 18–20°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 12 сентября?
19°C 42%
20°C 31%
18°C 25%
21°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
25%
19°C
42%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 31%
18°C 25%
21°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$40 Объем
2%
16°C
$31 Объем
3%
17°C
$9 Объем
3%
18°C
$430 Объем
25%
19°C
$83 Объем
42%
20°C
$1,027 Объем
31%
21°C
$23 Объем
6%
22°C
$18 Объем
3%
23°C
$57 Объем
1%
24°C
$105 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$425 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 12. Official observations from September 10 recorded highs near 16–19°C amid cooler, showery conditions, while multiple runs project a modest rebound to 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and surface pressures near 1022 hPa. Seasonal climatology supports this mild range as autumn cooling sets in, with low precipitation risk reinforcing limited thermal variability. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift probabilities within the narrow 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,247Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 12. Official observations from September 10 recorded highs near 16–19°C amid cooler, showery conditions, while multiple runs project a modest rebound to 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and surface pressures near 1022 hPa. Seasonal climatology supports this mild range as autumn cooling sets in, with low precipitation risk reinforcing limited thermal variability. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift probabilities within the narrow 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,247Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Warsaw on September 12. Official observations from September 10 recorded highs near 16–19°C amid cooler, showery conditions, while multiple runs project a modest rebound to 18–20°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and surface pressures near 1022 hPa. Seasonal climatology supports this mild range as autumn cooling sets in, with low precipitation risk reinforcing limited thermal variability. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on these thresholds, though minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift probabilities within the narrow 18–20°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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