Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 7 августа?
25°C 41%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
41%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$610 Объем
1%
23°C
$101 Объем
2%
24°C
$725 Объем
9%
25°C
$340 Объем
41%
26°C
$528 Объем
37%
27°C
$1,143 Объем
13%
28°C
$351 Объем
2%
29°C
$147 Объем
1%
30°C
$37 Объем
<1%
31°C
$80 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$457 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,520Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,520Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's August 7 maximum near 25–26°C, with surface conditions featuring moderate northwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and weak high pressure maintaining mild advection of continental air. These factors create tight clustering around the 25°C and 26°C bins that dominate trader consensus, as small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon insolation can swing the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the city centers near 23–26°C, providing context for why lower outcomes carry minimal implied probability while extremes above 28°C remain remote without a sudden warm-air intrusion. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine dew-point and wind forecasts ahead of market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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