Current forecast models from agencies like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies and light northwest winds limiting cloud cover and moisture advection for September 15. This setup supports daytime maxima centered on 32–33°C in Tel Aviv, aligning with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 31°C and recent observations show minimal deviation. Trader consensus heavily favors these outcomes, reflecting low uncertainty in the absence of incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions that could push readings higher. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings at peak afternoon hours, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 15 сентября?
33°C 62%
34°C 22%
32°C 16%
35°C 3%
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
62%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C или выше
1%
33°C 62%
34°C 22%
32°C 16%
35°C 3%
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
16%
33°C
62%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear skies and light northwest winds limiting cloud cover and moisture advection for September 15. This setup supports daytime maxima centered on 32–33°C in Tel Aviv, aligning with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 31°C and recent observations show minimal deviation. Trader consensus heavily favors these outcomes, reflecting low uncertainty in the absence of incoming fronts or Saharan air intrusions that could push readings higher. Final resolution will hinge on official station readings at peak afternoon hours, with any last-minute model shifts potentially adjusting implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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