A strengthening marine layer and onshore flow following Southern California's prolonged early-August heatwave are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds centered on 76–79 °F for Los Angeles on August 12. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs highlight deeper marine-layer clouds expanding into coastal areas, suppressing afternoon highs below the seasonal 84–85 °F average and producing cooler-than-normal conditions by midweek. Historical August maxima at Los Angeles International Airport cluster near 77 °F, and the current setup aligns with that baseline rather than the hotter inland or pre-frontal patterns seen earlier in the month. Traders are therefore assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 76–79 °F bands while assigning minimal weight to 80 °F-plus outcomes that would require a return to offshore flow or delayed marine-layer development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 12 августа?
76-77°F 56%
78-79°F 33%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 1.6%
НОВОЕ
$26,652 Объем
НОВОЕ
$26,652 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 56%
78-79°F 33%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 1.6%
НОВОЕ
$26,652 Объем
НОВОЕ
$26,652 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$1,501 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$932 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$842 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$2,320 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$3,351 Объем
6%
76-77°F
$4,968 Объем
56%
78-79°F
$6,476 Объем
33%
80-81°F
$1,488 Объем
2%
82-83°F
$2,890 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$1,256 Объем
<1%
86°F или выше
$628 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening marine layer and onshore flow following Southern California's prolonged early-August heatwave are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds centered on 76–79 °F for Los Angeles on August 12. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs highlight deeper marine-layer clouds expanding into coastal areas, suppressing afternoon highs below the seasonal 84–85 °F average and producing cooler-than-normal conditions by midweek. Historical August maxima at Los Angeles International Airport cluster near 77 °F, and the current setup aligns with that baseline rather than the hotter inland or pre-frontal patterns seen earlier in the month. Traders are therefore assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 76–79 °F bands while assigning minimal weight to 80 °F-plus outcomes that would require a return to offshore flow or delayed marine-layer development.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$26,652Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening marine layer and onshore flow following Southern California's prolonged early-August heatwave are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds centered on 76–79 °F for Los Angeles on August 12. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs highlight deeper marine-layer clouds expanding into coastal areas, suppressing afternoon highs below the seasonal 84–85 °F average and producing cooler-than-normal conditions by midweek. Historical August maxima at Los Angeles International Airport cluster near 77 °F, and the current setup aligns with that baseline rather than the hotter inland or pre-frontal patterns seen earlier in the month. Traders are therefore assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 76–79 °F bands while assigning minimal weight to 80 °F-plus outcomes that would require a return to offshore flow or delayed marine-layer development.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$26,652Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strengthening marine layer and onshore flow following Southern California's prolonged early-August heatwave are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds centered on 76–79 °F for Los Angeles on August 12. National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs highlight deeper marine-layer clouds expanding into coastal areas, suppressing afternoon highs below the seasonal 84–85 °F average and producing cooler-than-normal conditions by midweek. Historical August maxima at Los Angeles International Airport cluster near 77 °F, and the current setup aligns with that baseline rather than the hotter inland or pre-frontal patterns seen earlier in the month. Traders are therefore assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 76–79 °F bands while assigning minimal weight to 80 °F-plus outcomes that would require a return to offshore flow or delayed marine-layer development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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