Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat-island effects typically produce August daytime maxima of 34–38°C under high humidity and regional high-pressure patterns, aligning forecast guidance with the market's leading outcomes around 36–38°C. Persistent warmth through late July without extreme heatwave intensification, combined with afternoon thunderstorm potential that could limit peaks below 39°C, supports the 41.5% implied probability on 37°C as the most likely station reading. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies emphasizes precise urban-station thresholds over broader model runs, with traders incorporating historical climatology and latest ensemble outputs showing limited deviation from this range on August 1.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 1 августа?
37°C 41%
36°C 22%
38°C 19%
35°C 9%
$18,433 Объем
$18,433 Объем
34°C or below
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
22%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C
9%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 41%
36°C 22%
38°C 19%
35°C 9%
$18,433 Объем
$18,433 Объем
34°C or below
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
22%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C
9%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and urban heat-island effects typically produce August daytime maxima of 34–38°C under high humidity and regional high-pressure patterns, aligning forecast guidance with the market's leading outcomes around 36–38°C. Persistent warmth through late July without extreme heatwave intensification, combined with afternoon thunderstorm potential that could limit peaks below 39°C, supports the 41.5% implied probability on 37°C as the most likely station reading. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies emphasizes precise urban-station thresholds over broader model runs, with traders incorporating historical climatology and latest ensemble outputs showing limited deviation from this range on August 1.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы