Drake’s sustained catalog momentum from the May 2026 triple-album release of Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honour continues to anchor daily YouTube views in the 12–13 million range for the August 17–23 window, with no new singles or major campaigns to generate fresh spikes. Traders see the two leading bins at 12–12.5M and 12.5–13M as nearly interchangeable because steady playlist rotations, algorithmic recommendations, and post-release decay patterns produce consistent but unspectacular engagement rather than breakout days. The absence of recent promotional events or competing artist surges keeps upside limited above 14M while supporting a floor above 11.5M, leaving outcomes tightly contested until any late-week social moment or chart update could shift the single-day peak within that narrow band.