Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run-rate by July 2026, paired with its May Series H private valuation of $965 billion, underpins the overwhelming 96.4% implied probability that its IPO closing market cap exceeds $600 billion. Traders are pricing in continued momentum from recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases, strong enterprise adoption, and banker targets near $2 trillion for an October or November 2026 listing. While this skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verifiable growth and competitive AI positioning, realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, a broader tech valuation reset, or slower-than-projected scaling that could compress multiples below current private levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено600 млрд+ 96.4%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 1.1%
400–600 млрд <1%
<100 млрд <1%
$444,205 Объем
$444,205 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<100 млрд
1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
1%
600 млрд+
96%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
1%
600 млрд+ 96.4%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 1.1%
400–600 млрд <1%
<100 млрд <1%
$444,205 Объем
$444,205 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<100 млрд
$158,178 Объем
1%
100–200 млрд
$82,829 Объем
<1%
200–300 млрд
$22,839 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$73,801 Объем
<1%
400–600 млрд
$22,929 Объем
1%
600 млрд+
$48,396 Объем
96%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$35,234 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run-rate by July 2026, paired with its May Series H private valuation of $965 billion, underpins the overwhelming 96.4% implied probability that its IPO closing market cap exceeds $600 billion. Traders are pricing in continued momentum from recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases, strong enterprise adoption, and banker targets near $2 trillion for an October or November 2026 listing. While this skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verifiable growth and competitive AI positioning, realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, a broader tech valuation reset, or slower-than-projected scaling that could compress multiples below current private levels.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Объем
$444,205Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run-rate by July 2026, paired with its May Series H private valuation of $965 billion, underpins the overwhelming 96.4% implied probability that its IPO closing market cap exceeds $600 billion. Traders are pricing in continued momentum from recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases, strong enterprise adoption, and banker targets near $2 trillion for an October or November 2026 listing. While this skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verifiable growth and competitive AI positioning, realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, a broader tech valuation reset, or slower-than-projected scaling that could compress multiples below current private levels.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$444,205Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run-rate by July 2026, paired with its May Series H private valuation of $965 billion, underpins the overwhelming 96.4% implied probability that its IPO closing market cap exceeds $600 billion. Traders are pricing in continued momentum from recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases, strong enterprise adoption, and banker targets near $2 trillion for an October or November 2026 listing. While this skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verifiable growth and competitive AI positioning, realistic challenges include IPO delays from regulatory scrutiny, a broader tech valuation reset, or slower-than-projected scaling that could compress multiples below current private levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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