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DemissãO previsões e probabilidades

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Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

4%

$20.3K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$487K Vol.

$58.0K Liq.

28

Ends em 7 meses

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

64%

December 31

$123M Vol.

$160K today

$135K Liq.

34

Ends em 7 meses

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

8%

$3.9K Vol.

$822 Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

40%

$13.9K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

8%

$515K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

10%

Wang Huning

$173K Vol.

$69.6K Liq.

17

Ends em 7 meses

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$434K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

43%

$40.8K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

<1%

$8M Vol.

$211K today

$465K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

54%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$63.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

78%

December 31

$32M Vol.

$222K today

$303K Liq.

1,758

Ends há 6 meses

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

20%

June 30

$484K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

198

Ends em 14 dias

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

9%

$110K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$217K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

74%

December 31

$23.5K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$104K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

33%

Burnham 9%+

$32.0K Vol.

$63.0K Liq.

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

9%

December 31

$142K Vol.

$86.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

44%

$116K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like DemissãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for DemissãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump resign before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $174.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 64% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on DemissãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.