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Pelosi previsões e probabilidades

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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

95%

Scott Wiener

$391K Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

5

Ends há 7 dias

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$10.8K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

8

Ends há 9 dias

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

13%

$18.8K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

6%

$2.8K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

46%

Hakeem Jeffries

$2.1K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

73%

Not revealed in 2026

$14.0K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

82%

Democratic Party

$7M Vol.

$572K Liq.

1

Ends em 5 meses

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

45%

Democrats Sweep

$8M Vol.

$827K Liq.

211

Ends em 5 meses

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

81%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$326K Vol.

$49.9K Liq.

12

Ends em 5 meses

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

2%

$159K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

CA-50 House Election Winner

CA-50 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$37.8K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.5K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

5%

$151K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

9

Ends em 5 meses

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

97%

Democratic Party

$33.2K Vol.

$65.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

What will Trump post this week? (June 9 - 14)

72%

Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat

$214 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

PA-14 House Election Winner

PA-14 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$2.5K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$49.6K Vol.

$323K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$600K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

CA-34 House Election Winner

CA-34 House Election Winner

96%

Democratic Party

$27.8K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

PA-13 House Election Winner

PA-13 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$9.4K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Pelosi.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Pelosi that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pelosi predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.