Biden previsões e probabilidades

Elections·Governor Races

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

$8.4K Vol.

$272 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

70%

$8.4K Vol.

$272 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Politics·Obama

Obama cobrado pelo governo federal antes de 2027?

$10.7K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$10.7K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·Primaries

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

$1B Vol.

$414K today

$81M Liq.

810

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

Josh Shapiro

$1B Vol.

$414K today

$81M Liq.

810

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

Elections·President

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$1M Vol.

$794K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1M Vol.

$794K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Maria Corina Machado

EUA reconhecem Machado como líder da Venezuela até 31 de dezembro?

$179K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$179K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·President

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

$66.4K Vol.

$383K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

77%

Andrew Yang

$66.4K Vol.

$383K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Politics·Trump

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

$441K Vol.

$314K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Andrew Tate

$441K Vol.

$314K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Iran

EUA reconhecem Reza Pahlavi como líder do Irã em 2026?

$635K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$635K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·President

Nomeado VP Democrático 2028

$93.4K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em quase 2 anos

Josh Shapiro

$93.4K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em quase 2 anos

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during RNC Convention?

$15.0K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

45%

Transgender 3+ times

$15.0K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Politics·Trump

Com quem Trump se encontrará em 2026?

$1M Vol.

$177K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

70%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1M Vol.

$177K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Politics·James Comey

Quem será preso antes de 2027?

$406K Vol.

$350K Liq.

11%

Anthony Fauci

$406K Vol.

$350K Liq.

Politics·Trump

Quem Trump insultará publicamente até 30 de setembro?

$43.0K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

91%

Barack Obama

$43.0K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Politics·Trump

Quem Trump insultará publicamente até 31 de agosto?

$70.7K Vol.

$275 Liq.

Ends há 6 dias

16%

Kaitlan Collins

$70.7K Vol.

$275 Liq.

Ends há 6 dias

Politics·Biden

Um tribunal dos EUA decidirá que a eleição de 2020 foi fraudulenta?

$24.6K Vol.

$536 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

10%

$24.6K Vol.

$536 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Politics·Trump

Com quem Trump falará em setembro?

$102K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

97%

Andy Burnham

$102K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Politics·Trump

JD Vance como vice-presidente por...?

$242K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

31 de dezembro

$242K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·Iran

Quem participará de uma rodada de negociações de paz EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?

$390K Vol.

$281K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

32%

Steve Witkoff

$390K Vol.

$281K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Geopolitics·China

O bloqueio ao Irã foi suspenso antes de Xi visitar os EUA?

$67 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

15%

$67 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·Global Elections

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

$703M Vol.

$165K today

$62M Liq.

1,020

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

25%

JD Vance

$703M Vol.

$165K today

$62M Liq.

1,020

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Biden.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Biden that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “EUA reconhecem Machado como líder da Venezuela até 31 de dezembro?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Candidato presidencial democrata 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Candidato presidencial democrata 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 5% chance to Josh Shapiro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Biden predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Biden shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Candidato presidencial democrata 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Biden prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Biden prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Biden previsões e probabilidades

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Biden prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Biden markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Biden prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Biden predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Biden odds?

Can I track Biden predictions without trading?

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How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Biden prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Biden markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Biden prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Biden predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Biden odds?

Can I track Biden predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Biden markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Biden previsões e probabilidades