The 52.5% market-implied probability for a Trump insult at the September 14, 2026, Emmys reflects Hollywood's entrenched liberal tilt and late-night TV's recent transformation into an explicit anti-Trump platform, balanced against host Mariska Hargitay's non-comedic profile and the live broadcast's emphasis on decorum. Jimmy Kimmel's recent Emmy campaign video compiling Trump's attacks on him underscores ongoing feuds that could surface if late-night nominees like Kimmel, Colbert, or Oliver win or present, echoing past roasts at the 2017 and 2025 ceremonies. Key swing factors include the outcomes in the variety categories and any unscripted acceptance speeches or presenter banter during the Peacock Theater event, which could quickly shift trader consensus in either direction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlguém vai insultar Donald Trump durante o Emmy Awards 2026?
Alguém vai insultar Donald Trump durante o Emmy Awards 2026?
Sim
53% chance
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
Sim
53% chance
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.The 52.5% market-implied probability for a Trump insult at the September 14, 2026, Emmys reflects Hollywood's entrenched liberal tilt and late-night TV's recent transformation into an explicit anti-Trump platform, balanced against host Mariska Hargitay's non-comedic profile and the live broadcast's emphasis on decorum. Jimmy Kimmel's recent Emmy campaign video compiling Trump's attacks on him underscores ongoing feuds that could surface if late-night nominees like Kimmel, Colbert, or Oliver win or present, echoing past roasts at the 2017 and 2025 ceremonies. Key swing factors include the outcomes in the variety categories and any unscripted acceptance speeches or presenter banter during the Peacock Theater event, which could quickly shift trader consensus in either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
Volume
$6,589Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.The 52.5% market-implied probability for a Trump insult at the September 14, 2026, Emmys reflects Hollywood's entrenched liberal tilt and late-night TV's recent transformation into an explicit anti-Trump platform, balanced against host Mariska Hargitay's non-comedic profile and the live broadcast's emphasis on decorum. Jimmy Kimmel's recent Emmy campaign video compiling Trump's attacks on him underscores ongoing feuds that could surface if late-night nominees like Kimmel, Colbert, or Oliver win or present, echoing past roasts at the 2017 and 2025 ceremonies. Key swing factors include the outcomes in the variety categories and any unscripted acceptance speeches or presenter banter during the Peacock Theater event, which could quickly shift trader consensus in either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
Volume
$6,589Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 52.5% market-implied probability for a Trump insult at the September 14, 2026, Emmys reflects Hollywood's entrenched liberal tilt and late-night TV's recent transformation into an explicit anti-Trump platform, balanced against host Mariska Hargitay's non-comedic profile and the live broadcast's emphasis on decorum. Jimmy Kimmel's recent Emmy campaign video compiling Trump's attacks on him underscores ongoing feuds that could surface if late-night nominees like Kimmel, Colbert, or Oliver win or present, echoing past roasts at the 2017 and 2025 ceremonies. Key swing factors include the outcomes in the variety categories and any unscripted acceptance speeches or presenter banter during the Peacock Theater event, which could quickly shift trader consensus in either direction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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