**The WI-03 House race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden and Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a competitive southwestern Wisconsin district rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report with an R+3 partisan voting index.** Van Orden secured reelection by roughly three points in 2024, while Cooke won the August 11 Democratic primary with about 58 percent of the vote to set up the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent polls, including a June survey showing Cooke ahead 50-46, indicate a narrow contest, and historical midterm patterns often benefit the opposition party seeking to flip seats. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Cooke's fundraising edge and national Democratic support, in assigning the party a leading implied probability in this battleground district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
26%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$2,603 Vol.
71%
Republican Party
$1,521 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The WI-03 House race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden and Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a competitive southwestern Wisconsin district rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report with an R+3 partisan voting index.** Van Orden secured reelection by roughly three points in 2024, while Cooke won the August 11 Democratic primary with about 58 percent of the vote to set up the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent polls, including a June survey showing Cooke ahead 50-46, indicate a narrow contest, and historical midterm patterns often benefit the opposition party seeking to flip seats. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Cooke's fundraising edge and national Democratic support, in assigning the party a leading implied probability in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$4,124Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The WI-03 House race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden and Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a competitive southwestern Wisconsin district rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report with an R+3 partisan voting index.** Van Orden secured reelection by roughly three points in 2024, while Cooke won the August 11 Democratic primary with about 58 percent of the vote to set up the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent polls, including a June survey showing Cooke ahead 50-46, indicate a narrow contest, and historical midterm patterns often benefit the opposition party seeking to flip seats. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Cooke's fundraising edge and national Democratic support, in assigning the party a leading implied probability in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,124Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The WI-03 House race features a rematch between Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden and Democrat Rebecca Cooke in a competitive southwestern Wisconsin district rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report with an R+3 partisan voting index.** Van Orden secured reelection by roughly three points in 2024, while Cooke won the August 11 Democratic primary with about 58 percent of the vote to set up the November 3, 2026, general election. Recent polls, including a June survey showing Cooke ahead 50-46, indicate a narrow contest, and historical midterm patterns often benefit the opposition party seeking to flip seats. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Cooke's fundraising edge and national Democratic support, in assigning the party a leading implied probability in this battleground district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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