TX-19's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94% trader consensus for the GOP nominee. The open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew limited Democratic interest, with Kyle Rable facing Tom Sell, who secured the Republican nomination after the March primary and May runoff. Limited polling shows Sell ahead by 20–40 points in this rural West Texas district centered on Lubbock and Abilene, where historical voting patterns and turnout favor Republicans. A late scandal involving the GOP candidate or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment remain the main low-probability factors that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTX-19 House Election Winner
TX-19 House Election Winner
$16,505 Vol.
$16,505 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$16,505 Vol.
$16,505 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,486 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$14,019 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-19's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94% trader consensus for the GOP nominee. The open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew limited Democratic interest, with Kyle Rable facing Tom Sell, who secured the Republican nomination after the March primary and May runoff. Limited polling shows Sell ahead by 20–40 points in this rural West Texas district centered on Lubbock and Abilene, where historical voting patterns and turnout favor Republicans. A late scandal involving the GOP candidate or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment remain the main low-probability factors that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,505Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-19's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94% trader consensus for the GOP nominee. The open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew limited Democratic interest, with Kyle Rable facing Tom Sell, who secured the Republican nomination after the March primary and May runoff. Limited polling shows Sell ahead by 20–40 points in this rural West Texas district centered on Lubbock and Abilene, where historical voting patterns and turnout favor Republicans. A late scandal involving the GOP candidate or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment remain the main low-probability factors that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,505Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-19's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+25 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters, underpins the 94% trader consensus for the GOP nominee. The open seat following Jodey Arrington’s retirement drew limited Democratic interest, with Kyle Rable facing Tom Sell, who secured the Republican nomination after the March primary and May runoff. Limited polling shows Sell ahead by 20–40 points in this rural West Texas district centered on Lubbock and Abilene, where historical voting patterns and turnout favor Republicans. A late scandal involving the GOP candidate or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment remain the main low-probability factors that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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