The closely matched probabilities between the 300K-350K and 350K-400K turnout brackets reflect trader consensus on a low-engagement midterm cycle for Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Democrat Jack Reed holds a commanding lead in both his September 9 primary and the general election against Republican Raymond McKay, with forecasts rating the contest Solid Democratic and limited national attention or competitive pressure to boost participation. Early voting began in late August, yet historical patterns in the state show modest overall turnout absent high-stakes local contests or external mobilization. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in Democratic base enthusiasm could adjust totals before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Rhode Island: comparecimento às urnas
350K-400K 33.3%
300K-350K 29%
400K-450K 23%
250K-300K 4.5%
<250 mil
1%
250K-300K
5%
300K-350K
29%
350K-400K
33%
400K-450K
23%
450 mil+
3%
350K-400K 33.3%
300K-350K 29%
400K-450K 23%
250K-300K 4.5%
<250 mil
1%
250K-300K
5%
300K-350K
29%
350K-400K
33%
400K-450K
23%
450 mil+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities between the 300K-350K and 350K-400K turnout brackets reflect trader consensus on a low-engagement midterm cycle for Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Democrat Jack Reed holds a commanding lead in both his September 9 primary and the general election against Republican Raymond McKay, with forecasts rating the contest Solid Democratic and limited national attention or competitive pressure to boost participation. Early voting began in late August, yet historical patterns in the state show modest overall turnout absent high-stakes local contests or external mobilization. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in Democratic base enthusiasm could adjust totals before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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