Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district remains highly competitive heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie facing Democrat Bob Brooks after the seat flipped parties in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary and benefits from union support and targeting by national Democratic groups seeking to reclaim the Lehigh Valley district. Polling has been limited and mixed, while broader midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and working-class precincts, and any late shifts in the national environment continue to influence expectations. Traders see limited separation in victory margins because both candidates hold established bases, the district’s recent history shows narrow results, and few major distinguishing events have emerged since the primary to shift consensus probabilities materially. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could still alter positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPA-07 Margem de Vitória nas Eleições da Câmara
PA-07 Margem de Vitória nas Eleições da Câmara
Democrata 6-9% 37%
Democrata 18%+ 37%
Democrata 15-18% 37%
Democrata 12-15% 37%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata 18%+
37%
Democrata 15-18%
37%
Democrata 12-15%
37%
Democrata 9-12%
37%
Democrata 6-9%
37%
Democrata 3-6%
37%
Democrata 0-3%
37%
Republicano 0-3%
37%
Republicano 3-6%
37%
Republicano 6%+
37%
Democrata 6-9% 37%
Democrata 18%+ 37%
Democrata 15-18% 37%
Democrata 12-15% 37%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrata 18%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Democrata 15-18%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democrata 12-15%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democrata 9-12%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democrata 6-9%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democrata 3-6%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democrata 0-3%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republicano 0-3%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republicano 3-6%
$0 Vol.
37%
Republicano 6%+
$0 Vol.
37%
The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district remains highly competitive heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie facing Democrat Bob Brooks after the seat flipped parties in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary and benefits from union support and targeting by national Democratic groups seeking to reclaim the Lehigh Valley district. Polling has been limited and mixed, while broader midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and working-class precincts, and any late shifts in the national environment continue to influence expectations. Traders see limited separation in victory margins because both candidates hold established bases, the district’s recent history shows narrow results, and few major distinguishing events have emerged since the primary to shift consensus probabilities materially. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could still alter positioning.
The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district remains highly competitive heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie facing Democrat Bob Brooks after the seat flipped parties in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary and benefits from union support and targeting by national Democratic groups seeking to reclaim the Lehigh Valley district. Polling has been limited and mixed, while broader midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and working-class precincts, and any late shifts in the national environment continue to influence expectations. Traders see limited separation in victory margins because both candidates hold established bases, the district’s recent history shows narrow results, and few major distinguishing events have emerged since the primary to shift consensus probabilities materially. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could still alter positioning.
The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pennsylvania’s 7th congressional district remains highly competitive heading into the November 2026 general election, with Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie facing Democrat Bob Brooks after the seat flipped parties in 2024. Brooks secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary and benefits from union support and targeting by national Democratic groups seeking to reclaim the Lehigh Valley district. Polling has been limited and mixed, while broader midterm dynamics, turnout in suburban and working-class precincts, and any late shifts in the national environment continue to influence expectations. Traders see limited separation in victory margins because both candidates hold established bases, the district’s recent history shows narrow results, and few major distinguishing events have emerged since the primary to shift consensus probabilities materially. Upcoming campaign events or additional polling could still alter positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O candidato do Partido Democrata vencerá a eleição para a Câmara de PA-06 de 2026 por uma margem de 20%-25%?
38%
Sim
O candidato do Partido Republicano vencerá a eleição para a Câmara de PA-08 em 2026 por uma margem de 9%-12%?
38%
Sim
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 12% or more?
37%
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions