The closely matched probabilities across turnout buckets in the North Carolina Senate race reflect uncertainty around midterm participation in an open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Democratic enthusiasm currently exceeds Republican levels, with higher shares of Democrats reporting they are certain to vote amid the president's party's typical midterm challenges. Both campaigns' ground operations, early and absentee voting trends, and unaffiliated voter mobilization will shape final participation, while historical patterns show registered Republicans often holding a turnout edge. Shifts in national momentum, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, registration updates, or Election Day conditions could widen separation among the leading ranges near 3.7M-4.1M votes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado da Carolina do Norte: comparecimento às urnas
Eleição para o Senado da Carolina do Norte: comparecimento às urnas
3,7M-3,9M 23%
3,9M-4,1M 20.4%
<3,5M 14%
4,5M-4,7M 12%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<3,5M
14%
3,5M-3,7M
2%
3,7M-3,9M
23%
3,9M-4,1M
20%
4,1M-4,3M
7%
4,3M-4,5M
11%
4,5M-4,7M
12%
4,7M+
2%
3,7M-3,9M 23%
3,9M-4,1M 20.4%
<3,5M 14%
4,5M-4,7M 12%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<3,5M
$39 Vol.
14%
3,5M-3,7M
$772 Vol.
2%
3,7M-3,9M
$39 Vol.
23%
3,9M-4,1M
$39 Vol.
20%
4,1M-4,3M
$39 Vol.
7%
4,3M-4,5M
$39 Vol.
11%
4,5M-4,7M
$39 Vol.
12%
4,7M+
$826 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout buckets in the North Carolina Senate race reflect uncertainty around midterm participation in an open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Democratic enthusiasm currently exceeds Republican levels, with higher shares of Democrats reporting they are certain to vote amid the president's party's typical midterm challenges. Both campaigns' ground operations, early and absentee voting trends, and unaffiliated voter mobilization will shape final participation, while historical patterns show registered Republicans often holding a turnout edge. Shifts in national momentum, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, registration updates, or Election Day conditions could widen separation among the leading ranges near 3.7M-4.1M votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,835Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout buckets in the North Carolina Senate race reflect uncertainty around midterm participation in an open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Democratic enthusiasm currently exceeds Republican levels, with higher shares of Democrats reporting they are certain to vote amid the president's party's typical midterm challenges. Both campaigns' ground operations, early and absentee voting trends, and unaffiliated voter mobilization will shape final participation, while historical patterns show registered Republicans often holding a turnout edge. Shifts in national momentum, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, registration updates, or Election Day conditions could widen separation among the leading ranges near 3.7M-4.1M votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,835Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout buckets in the North Carolina Senate race reflect uncertainty around midterm participation in an open-seat contest between Democrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley. Democratic enthusiasm currently exceeds Republican levels, with higher shares of Democrats reporting they are certain to vote amid the president's party's typical midterm challenges. Both campaigns' ground operations, early and absentee voting trends, and unaffiliated voter mobilization will shape final participation, while historical patterns show registered Republicans often holding a turnout edge. Shifts in national momentum, intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, registration updates, or Election Day conditions could widen separation among the leading ranges near 3.7M-4.1M votes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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