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icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

23 de junho 19%

Sem lançamento até 30 de junho 17.6%

30 de junho 15%

22 de junho 9.7%

Polymarket

$107,482 Vol.

23 de junho 19%

Sem lançamento até 30 de junho 17.6%

30 de junho 15%

22 de junho 9.7%

Polymarket

$107,482 Vol.

12 de junho

$2,819 Vol.

2%

13 de junho

$2,638 Vol.

<1%

14 de junho

$2,635 Vol.

<1%

15 de junho

$1,904 Vol.

1%

16 de junho

$3,017 Vol.

7%

17 de junho

$2,743 Vol.

8%

18 de junho

$2,595 Vol.

5%

19 de junho

$2,346 Vol.

<1%

20 de junho

$1,313 Vol.

1%

21 de junho

$1,248 Vol.

<1%

22 de junho

$3,691 Vol.

10%

23 de junho

$3,837 Vol.

19%

24 de junho

$2,727 Vol.

4%

25 de junho

$1,351 Vol.

<1%

26 de junho

$3,109 Vol.

6%

27 de junho

$2,009 Vol.

1%

28 de junho

$1,222 Vol.

<1%

29 de junho

$1,487 Vol.

10%

30 de junho

$4,923 Vol.

15%

Sem lançamento até 30 de junho

$16,360 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro was in testing with a targeted June rollout, serves as the main catalyst behind the market’s tight June cluster. Following the February release of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and its March deprecation of earlier versions, traders see the rapid Gemini 3-series cadence as Google’s effort to close gaps with rivals on reasoning benchmarks, coding performance, and agentic workflows. The near-even split among mid-to-late June dates and the “no release by June 30” outcome reflects typical AI launch slippage risks, supply-chain or safety-review delays, and the absence of a precise public timeline. Upcoming developer conferences and API changelog updates remain the key swing factors that could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,482
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote, where CEO Sundar Pichai confirmed Gemini 3.5 Pro was in testing with a targeted June rollout, serves as the main catalyst behind the market’s tight June cluster. Following the February release of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and its March deprecation of earlier versions, traders see the rapid Gemini 3-series cadence as Google’s effort to close gaps with rivals on reasoning benchmarks, coding performance, and agentic workflows. The near-even split among mid-to-late June dates and the “no release by June 30” outcome reflects typical AI launch slippage risks, supply-chain or safety-review delays, and the absence of a precise public timeline. Upcoming developer conferences and API changelog updates remain the key swing factors that could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,482
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "23 de junho" at 19%, followed by "Sem lançamento até 30 de junho" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" has generated $107.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is "23 de junho" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sem lançamento até 30 de junho" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.