**SpaceX's Starship V3 vehicles now include dedicated docking hardware—drogues, probes, and propellant feed connections—explicitly for ship-to-ship operations in low Earth orbit.** Recent test flights through mid-2026 (including Flights 12 and 13) have validated core V3 systems such as Raptor 3 engines and structural upgrades, building momentum toward the first full-scale orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two Starships, targeted for later in 2026. This demo requires one tanker Starship to launch, rendezvous, and dock with a second vehicle, a capability distinct from the Orion docking planned for Artemis III in 2027. Key near-term catalysts include additional V3 orbital flights, regulatory approvals for more ambitious profiles, and any public updates from SpaceX on refueling test timing. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative progress but accounts for typical schedule slips in complex rendezvous operations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
$59,655 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
12%
31 de dezembro de 2027
61%
$59,655 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$38,816 Vol.
12%
31 de dezembro de 2027
$20,839 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**SpaceX's Starship V3 vehicles now include dedicated docking hardware—drogues, probes, and propellant feed connections—explicitly for ship-to-ship operations in low Earth orbit.** Recent test flights through mid-2026 (including Flights 12 and 13) have validated core V3 systems such as Raptor 3 engines and structural upgrades, building momentum toward the first full-scale orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two Starships, targeted for later in 2026. This demo requires one tanker Starship to launch, rendezvous, and dock with a second vehicle, a capability distinct from the Orion docking planned for Artemis III in 2027. Key near-term catalysts include additional V3 orbital flights, regulatory approvals for more ambitious profiles, and any public updates from SpaceX on refueling test timing. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative progress but accounts for typical schedule slips in complex rendezvous operations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$59,655Data de Término
31 dez 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**SpaceX's Starship V3 vehicles now include dedicated docking hardware—drogues, probes, and propellant feed connections—explicitly for ship-to-ship operations in low Earth orbit.** Recent test flights through mid-2026 (including Flights 12 and 13) have validated core V3 systems such as Raptor 3 engines and structural upgrades, building momentum toward the first full-scale orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two Starships, targeted for later in 2026. This demo requires one tanker Starship to launch, rendezvous, and dock with a second vehicle, a capability distinct from the Orion docking planned for Artemis III in 2027. Key near-term catalysts include additional V3 orbital flights, regulatory approvals for more ambitious profiles, and any public updates from SpaceX on refueling test timing. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative progress but accounts for typical schedule slips in complex rendezvous operations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,655Data de Término
31 dez 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**SpaceX's Starship V3 vehicles now include dedicated docking hardware—drogues, probes, and propellant feed connections—explicitly for ship-to-ship operations in low Earth orbit.** Recent test flights through mid-2026 (including Flights 12 and 13) have validated core V3 systems such as Raptor 3 engines and structural upgrades, building momentum toward the first full-scale orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two Starships, targeted for later in 2026. This demo requires one tanker Starship to launch, rendezvous, and dock with a second vehicle, a capability distinct from the Orion docking planned for Artemis III in 2027. Key near-term catalysts include additional V3 orbital flights, regulatory approvals for more ambitious profiles, and any public updates from SpaceX on refueling test timing. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in iterative progress but accounts for typical schedule slips in complex rendezvous operations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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