The competitive El-Sayed-Rogers contest, rated a toss-up or slight Democratic lean in recent polling aggregates, anchors trader expectations for Michigan Senate turnout near 4.6-5 million votes. An open seat following Gary Peters’ retirement, combined with the August 4 Democratic primary’s record participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots, signals elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation. With roughly 7.36 million active registered voters, early voting from October 24 to November 1, and standard midterm turnout patterns in a battleground state, the market reflects uncertainty over enthusiasm gaps, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any late shifts in voter mobilization before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Michigan: comparecimento às urnas
4,8M-5M 34%
4,4M-4,6M 27%
4,2M-4,4M 7.6%
<4,2M 4.0%
<4,2M
4%
4,2M-4,4M
8%
4,4M-4,6M
14%
4,6M-4,8M
31%
4,8M-5M
34%
5M-5,2M
3%
5,2M-5,4M
3%
5,4M-5,6M
2%
5,6M+
2%
4,8M-5M 34%
4,4M-4,6M 27%
4,2M-4,4M 7.6%
<4,2M 4.0%
<4,2M
4%
4,2M-4,4M
8%
4,4M-4,6M
14%
4,6M-4,8M
31%
4,8M-5M
34%
5M-5,2M
3%
5,2M-5,4M
3%
5,4M-5,6M
2%
5,6M+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive El-Sayed-Rogers contest, rated a toss-up or slight Democratic lean in recent polling aggregates, anchors trader expectations for Michigan Senate turnout near 4.6-5 million votes. An open seat following Gary Peters’ retirement, combined with the August 4 Democratic primary’s record participation exceeding 1.5 million ballots, signals elevated engagement that could lift general-election participation. With roughly 7.36 million active registered voters, early voting from October 24 to November 1, and standard midterm turnout patterns in a battleground state, the market reflects uncertainty over enthusiasm gaps, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any late shifts in voter mobilization before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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