Wellington's lowest temperature on August 23 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderating northwest winds, with official station readings likely settling near 11–12°C as the market consensus indicates. Strong nor'westerlies earlier in the day promoted mixing that limited daytime warmth while preventing extreme nocturnal drops, yet easing winds and reduced cloud cover overnight allow surface heat loss to space, a process amplified by Wellington's topography and typical August dew points around 7–9°C. Ensemble forecasts diverge modestly on the precise minimum timing and wind gust strength, creating tight probabilities between 11°C and 12°C while leaving room for 9–10°C if clearer conditions or lighter winds prevail. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical August minima near 8–10°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from MetService stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 23 de agosto?
11°C 40%
12°C 34%
9°C 20%
10°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
5°C ou menos
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
16%
9°C
20%
10°C
19%
11°C
40%
12°C
34%
13°C
11%
14°C
<1%
15°C ou mais
<1%
11°C 40%
12°C 34%
9°C 20%
10°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
5°C ou menos
$137 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$180 Vol.
1%
7°C
$180 Vol.
2%
8°C
$7 Vol.
16%
9°C
$1 Vol.
20%
10°C
$1 Vol.
19%
11°C
$66 Vol.
40%
12°C
$649 Vol.
34%
13°C
$78 Vol.
11%
14°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
15°C ou mais
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's lowest temperature on August 23 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderating northwest winds, with official station readings likely settling near 11–12°C as the market consensus indicates. Strong nor'westerlies earlier in the day promoted mixing that limited daytime warmth while preventing extreme nocturnal drops, yet easing winds and reduced cloud cover overnight allow surface heat loss to space, a process amplified by Wellington's topography and typical August dew points around 7–9°C. Ensemble forecasts diverge modestly on the precise minimum timing and wind gust strength, creating tight probabilities between 11°C and 12°C while leaving room for 9–10°C if clearer conditions or lighter winds prevail. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical August minima near 8–10°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from MetService stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,635Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's lowest temperature on August 23 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderating northwest winds, with official station readings likely settling near 11–12°C as the market consensus indicates. Strong nor'westerlies earlier in the day promoted mixing that limited daytime warmth while preventing extreme nocturnal drops, yet easing winds and reduced cloud cover overnight allow surface heat loss to space, a process amplified by Wellington's topography and typical August dew points around 7–9°C. Ensemble forecasts diverge modestly on the precise minimum timing and wind gust strength, creating tight probabilities between 11°C and 12°C while leaving room for 9–10°C if clearer conditions or lighter winds prevail. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical August minima near 8–10°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from MetService stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,635Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's lowest temperature on August 23 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and moderating northwest winds, with official station readings likely settling near 11–12°C as the market consensus indicates. Strong nor'westerlies earlier in the day promoted mixing that limited daytime warmth while preventing extreme nocturnal drops, yet easing winds and reduced cloud cover overnight allow surface heat loss to space, a process amplified by Wellington's topography and typical August dew points around 7–9°C. Ensemble forecasts diverge modestly on the precise minimum timing and wind gust strength, creating tight probabilities between 11°C and 12°C while leaving room for 9–10°C if clearer conditions or lighter winds prevail. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical August minima near 8–10°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational data from MetService stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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