Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight variable overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies with potential light showers or frontal passages on August 23–24. These conditions create uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as clear intervals allow stronger surface heat loss while clouds and light winds limit it, with model spreads placing the low most often between 9–14 °C. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 7 °C or below through 12 °C reflects this forecast divergence and the influence of evolving high-resolution runs expected before market resolution. Historical August overnight lows average near 13 °C, providing context for the current setup.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 24 de agosto?
11°C 37%
10°C 36%
7°C ou menos 35%
12°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
7°C ou menos
35%
8°C
9%
9°C
11%
10°C
19%
11°C
30%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C ou mais
1%
11°C 37%
10°C 36%
7°C ou menos 35%
12°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
7°C ou menos
$56 Vol.
35%
8°C
$16 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$4 Vol.
19%
11°C
$5 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$4 Vol.
8%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C
$5 Vol.
13%
17°C ou mais
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight variable overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies with potential light showers or frontal passages on August 23–24. These conditions create uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as clear intervals allow stronger surface heat loss while clouds and light winds limit it, with model spreads placing the low most often between 9–14 °C. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 7 °C or below through 12 °C reflects this forecast divergence and the influence of evolving high-resolution runs expected before market resolution. Historical August overnight lows average near 13 °C, providing context for the current setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$149Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight variable overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies with potential light showers or frontal passages on August 23–24. These conditions create uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as clear intervals allow stronger surface heat loss while clouds and light winds limit it, with model spreads placing the low most often between 9–14 °C. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 7 °C or below through 12 °C reflects this forecast divergence and the influence of evolving high-resolution runs expected before market resolution. Historical August overnight lows average near 13 °C, providing context for the current setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight variable overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies with potential light showers or frontal passages on August 23–24. These conditions create uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as clear intervals allow stronger surface heat loss while clouds and light winds limit it, with model spreads placing the low most often between 9–14 °C. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 7 °C or below through 12 °C reflects this forecast divergence and the influence of evolving high-resolution runs expected before market resolution. Historical August overnight lows average near 13 °C, providing context for the current setup.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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