Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate showers and cloud cover over Tokyo on August 12–13, supporting overnight lows near 22–24°C by limiting radiative cooling under humid conditions typical of the Pacific high-pressure regime. Ensemble model guidance shows minor spread driven by exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August climatology centering on 23.7°C minima. The tight 23–24°C market split reflects trader assessment of these variables, where even modest increases in wind or delayed clearing could shift the recorded low by 1°C at official stations. Updated JMA guidance and regional radar trends ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 13 de agosto?
24°C 42%
23°C 41%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
41%
24°C
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 41%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
41%
24°C
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate showers and cloud cover over Tokyo on August 12–13, supporting overnight lows near 22–24°C by limiting radiative cooling under humid conditions typical of the Pacific high-pressure regime. Ensemble model guidance shows minor spread driven by exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August climatology centering on 23.7°C minima. The tight 23–24°C market split reflects trader assessment of these variables, where even modest increases in wind or delayed clearing could shift the recorded low by 1°C at official stations. Updated JMA guidance and regional radar trends ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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