Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a peak of 34–35°C in London on August 13 amid the fifth heatwave of summer 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds favoring strong daytime radiative heating. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities while capping upside at 37°C. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on August 12 will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 13 de agosto?
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 32%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather point to a peak of 34–35°C in London on August 13 amid the fifth heatwave of summer 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds favoring strong daytime radiative heating. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around exact maxima, supporting the near-even market split between 35°C and 36°C implied probabilities while capping upside at 37°C. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office on August 12 will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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