Stable high-pressure conditions and predominantly clear skies over Shenzhen have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered between 25°C and 26°C according to official station data. High dew points near 23–24°C and light easterly winds have reduced the potential for deeper cooling, while the urban heat island effect has added slight warmth. With no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation to alter the thermal profile, traders see nearly equal implied probabilities for a 25°C versus 26°C low, reflecting the narrow margin of uncertainty in the final observed reading from local meteorological stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 18 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 90%
24°C 20%
23°C 10%
22°C 6.8%
21°C ou menos
90%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
21°C ou menos 90%
24°C 20%
23°C 10%
22°C 6.8%
21°C ou menos
90%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and predominantly clear skies over Shenzhen have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum temperature tightly clustered between 25°C and 26°C according to official station data. High dew points near 23–24°C and light easterly winds have reduced the potential for deeper cooling, while the urban heat island effect has added slight warmth. With no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation to alter the thermal profile, traders see nearly equal implied probabilities for a 25°C versus 26°C low, reflecting the narrow margin of uncertainty in the final observed reading from local meteorological stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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