Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 18 de setembro?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
$39,858 Vol.
$39,858 Vol.
18 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
$39,858 Vol.
$39,858 Vol.
18 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$674 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,315 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,439 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,370 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,218 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$14,383 Vol.
100%
34°C
$3,572 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,577 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$39,858Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,858Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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