**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 18 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 18 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 94%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
22°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
20°C ou menos
94%
21°C
18%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
20°C ou menos 94%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
22°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
18 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
94%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$83 Vol.
50%
27°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$241Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$241Data de Término
18 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's September 18 minimum temperature centers on monsoon-driven overnight conditions that favor a low near 25–26°C.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from the southwest monsoon limit radiational cooling, while light winds and high humidity (often 90%+ at night) keep temperatures from dropping further. Official forecasts from sources like GFS and local monitoring consistently project overnight lows of 25–26°C, aligning with the tight market pricing between those outcomes. Slight model variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread to 24°C, with lower probabilities reflecting historical rarity of deeper cooling during peak wet-season conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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