Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 23 de agosto?
13°C 42%
9°C 7%
11°C 6%
10°C 5%
$1,052 Vol.
$1,052 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
5%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 42%
9°C 7%
11°C 6%
10°C 5%
$1,052 Vol.
$1,052 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
5%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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